Lecce vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FRO
0 - 3
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
VNZ
2 - 3
LEC
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEC
4 - 2
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
REG
0 - 4
LEC
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
ACD
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
CTT
0 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
NUO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
USC
0 - 1
SAL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |