Lecce vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 0
LEC
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 2
LEC
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAG
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 2
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
PON
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
FRO
18%
26%
56%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ACP
4 - 2
PON
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PON
2 - 2
PIS
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |