Lecce vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 1
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAS
36%
24%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 4
NAP
13%
21%
66%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 0
LEC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 3
PAR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VNZ
3 - 2
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
USC
1 - 2
PAR
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |