Lecce vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 0
FON
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 1
SIR
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
24%
28%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 2
FIA
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
SIC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FON
4 - 5
PAG
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAT
6 - 0
PAG
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 2
SIR
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |