Lecce vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MES
0 - 3
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 3
MAT
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 3
LEC
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
NUO
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
33%
26%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
AKR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
PAG
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
USF
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |