Lecce vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 2
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 4
PRG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 1
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 2
FRO
14%
25%
61%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 1
PAG
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 3
FCV
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |