Lecce vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
LEC
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 1
COS
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 1
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
INT
4 - 0
LEC
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
4 - 0
SAL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 0
LIV
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
4 - 3
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 4
NAP
31%
24%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 4
FCB
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |