Lecce vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
LEC
0 - 2
ROM
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 1
LEC
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
FIO
3 - 0
LEC
67%
20%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
44%
30%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
UDI
3 - 1
LEC
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
INT
3 - 1
NAP
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
NAP
3 - 1
ROM
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
NAP
1 - 3
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
58%
25%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |