Lecce vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
GRO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
RIM
2 - 3
LEC
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 2
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 2
SPE
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 2
BOL
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
PIS
3 - 3
MOD
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 2
MOD
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 1
CES
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |