Lecce vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
NUO
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 3
LEC
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
JUS
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 2
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |