Lecce vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 2
LEC
9%
21%
70%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
FCS
83%
13%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
REG
2 - 1
LEC
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAT
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SSB
1 - 1
LEC
12%
22%
66%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
PAG
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MES
4 - 1
REG
26%
25%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LRO
2 - 2
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |