Lecce vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 1
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
ISC
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USF
4 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAT
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEC
12%
21%
66%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
MAT
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MES
2 - 1
MAT
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAT
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |