Lecce vs Lupa Cast Rom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
74%
19%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
AKR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
MAT
15%
22%
64%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 2
LCR
82%
12%
5%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
LCR
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
1 - 2
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |