Lecce vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
RAV
0 - 0
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAL
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
PES
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 2
EMP
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
USF
2 - 0
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |