Lecce vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAG
2 - 0
LEC
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 3
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 2
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
LEC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 3
TOR
49%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 0
LAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LAZ
0 - 3
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 1
LAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 4
CAG
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |