Lecce vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
REG
1 - 3
LEC
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
INT
3 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 0
LEC
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
26%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
20%
27%
54%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
REG
2 - 1
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |