Lecce vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEC
9%
21%
70%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
USF
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 0
LEC
11%
22%
67%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
BEN
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 2
MAT
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
ISC
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 1
NUO
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
ISC
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 1
LRO
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |