Lecce vs Gallipoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 2
LEC
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
REG
2 - 4
LEC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 5
CTT
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 2
LEC
28%
26%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 1
TRI
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 2
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
EMP
2 - 2
GAL
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 2
PAD
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ANC
3 - 1
GAL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |