Lecce vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
LEC
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
NOC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 3
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FCV
2 - 0
LEC
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FRO
2 - 2
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASG
2 - 3
FRO
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FRO
2 - 0
ACP
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |