Lecce vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 0
LEC
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
PES
2 - 1
LEC
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
VIC
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
FRO
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
FRO
2 - 1
RIM
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FRO
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 0
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |