Lecce vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 4
LAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 1
NAP
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 2
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 0
SOR
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
CRO
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 3
NOV
44%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |