Lecce vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
PIA
3 - 2
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LEC
30%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 2
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
CRO
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 2
RIM
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
CRO
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 1
ABN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |