Lecce vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 3
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 1
AKR
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 2
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 2
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 0
FIA
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 3
NUO
29%
29%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRA
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |