Lecce vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
LEC
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
BEN
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
FCC
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAT
16%
25%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |