Lecce vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
LEC
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAQ
89%
9%
2%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TER
2 - 4
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
FRO
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 0
FCC
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCV
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASG
1 - 1
FCC
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 1
AVE
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |