Lecce vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
FCC
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 3
LEC
15%
23%
63%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 1
AKR
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 2
LEC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TAR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAS
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
4 - 2
CAS
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |