Lecce vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 2
LEC
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
EMP
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 2
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 3
LEC
25%
25%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PAD
3 - 1
SAL
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 2
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAD
3 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |