Lecce vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
LAZ
12%
21%
68%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SAS
4 - 2
LEC
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
ATL
6 - 2
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
ROM
15%
21%
64%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
TOR
3 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 0
VER
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |