Lecce vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 1
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
RAA
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
LEC
13%
23%
64%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
JUS
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAG
75%
17%
7%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
BEN
15%
23%
63%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
BEN
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
RAA
78%
16%
7%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 0
BEN
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |