Lecce vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 1
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
NOC
0 - 3
LEC
22%
24%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIS
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FRO
3 - 1
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
GRO
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 1
BEN
10%
21%
70%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
ACP
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |