Lecce vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROM
4 - 0
LEC
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
SPA
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 3
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
4 - 0
TOR
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VER
3 - 0
LEC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
4 - 1
VCF
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 2
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
GEN
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TOR
0 - 7
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |