Lecce vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
UDI
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
CRO
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 4
LAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
LEC
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 4
ASG
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 2
CTT
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |