Lecce vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
25%
27%
49%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PRG
1 - 2
LEC
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LEC
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 0
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPE
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 1
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
NUO
1 - 0
SPE
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 2
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |