Lecce vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 2
LEC
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAG
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 2
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 4
PRG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 1
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAQ
2 - 1
ASC
23%
28%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |