Lecce vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 2
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 1
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 0
SAL
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FRO
0 - 3
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
REG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
CTT
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 0
CTT
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |