Lecce vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
6 - 2
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
4 - 0
VIC
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
GEN
4 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 3
ACL
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 1
ANC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 1
RIM
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ABN
3 - 4
ANC
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |