Lecce vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LAZ
4 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LEC
0 - 3
BRI
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
AVE
0 - 1
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
TER
0 - 3
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
SSS
3 - 0
ANC
26%
27%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ANC
0 - 2
PIS
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
ANC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |