Lecce vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 2
UDI
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 3
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 3
ANC
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
ANC
3 - 2
EMP
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
MOD
0 - 0
ANC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ANC
3 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |