Lecce vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
76%
18%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
NUO
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AKR
0 - 1
USF
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
AKR
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
2 - 0
FCC
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |