Lecce vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 3
PIA
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
SAM
1 - 1
LEC
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 0
LAZ
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
EMP
5 - 1
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
PRG
28%
30%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
REG
0 - 2
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
SAL
4 - 1
ASS
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |