Lecce vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 4
LEC
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
CRO
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 3
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PIA
3 - 2
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
ABN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
REG
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 0
MAN
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |