Lecce vs Mantova analysis

Lecce Mantova
75 ELO 67
2% Tilt 11.2%
129º General ELO ranking 1150º
22º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
60.5%
Lecce
23.5%
Draw
16.1%
Mantova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
Lecce
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.1%
Win probability
Mantova
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecce
+1%
+7%
Mantova

ELO progression

Lecce
Mantova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2009
TRI
Triestina
1 - 4
Lecce
LEC
35%
27%
38%
74 69 5 0
19 Sep. 2009
LEC
Lecce
0 - 0
Crotone
CRO
69%
20%
11%
74 59 15 0
12 Sep. 2009
MOD
Modena
0 - 0
Lecce
LEC
33%
27%
41%
74 67 7 0
06 Sep. 2009
LEC
Lecce
1 - 3
Frosinone
FRO
57%
24%
19%
75 68 7 -1
29 Aug. 2009
PIA
Piacenza
3 - 2
Lecce
LEC
34%
26%
40%
75 66 9 0

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2009
MAN
Mantova
1 - 2
AlbinoLeffe
ABN
48%
26%
26%
68 66 2 0
19 Sep. 2009
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
51%
27%
22%
68 70 2 0
12 Sep. 2009
MAN
Mantova
2 - 2
Reggina
REG
29%
29%
42%
68 79 11 0
06 Sep. 2009
ASC
Ascoli
2 - 1
Mantova
MAN
56%
25%
20%
68 70 2 0
29 Aug. 2009
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
48%
27%
25%
69 67 2 -1