Lecce vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RAV
1 - 3
LEC
21%
26%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
PIS
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
LEC
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 0
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
ASC
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FRO
2 - 1
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
TRE
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
RIM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |