Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
CES
0 - 3
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 0
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
PES
3 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
CES
0 - 3
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
EMP
2 - 0
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
CES
2 - 0
RAV
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |