Lecce vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 0
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LEC
5 - 0
FRO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 0
LEC
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 1
ARZ
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 0
ARZ
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ARZ
0 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARZ
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ABN
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |