Lecce U15 vs Fiorentina U15 analysis


25	ELO	26
-0.9%	Tilt	-0.3%
45998º	General ELO ranking	45991º
1328º	Country ELO ranking	1321º
ELO win probability

46%

Lecce U15

21.6%

Draw

32.4%

Fiorentina U15

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%

21.6%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.6%

32.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%