Lecce U18 vs Roma U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
8º
55
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 0
LEC
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
3 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 2
LEC
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAS
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
LAZ
56%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 2
NAP
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASR
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
SAS
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ASR
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ASR
3 - 3
GEN
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |