Lecce U18 vs Roma U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
8º
55
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 3
LEC
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 3
NAP
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 2
LEC
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
SAS
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
2 - 0
NAP
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 1
ASR
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
4 - 1
SAS
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASR
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -3 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 1
GEN
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |