Lecce U18 vs Parma U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
14º
50
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
LEC
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
5 - 0
LEC
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Parma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
HEL
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FRO
3 - 4
PAR
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAG
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |