Lecce U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
14º
53
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
LEC
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
LEC
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
HEL
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
GEN
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAG
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |