Lecce U18 vs Fiorentina U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
9º
17º
13º
43
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
LEC
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 1
MIL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LAZ
2 - 2
LEC
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LEC
4 - 3
TOR
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
ATA
4 - 0
LEC
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 3
MIL
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 1
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 4
CAG
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |